Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Exports YoY climbed to 6.72% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Indonesia Exports YoY climbed to 6.72% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 0.67% from July's 6.05% reading. The print exceeded the 4.2% consensus by 2.52%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 4.22%. Over the past 3 months, Exports YoY averaged 7.45%, vs 4.38% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 59th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.72
Actual
4.2
Consensus
6.05
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.42 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 7.01
Actual: 6.72
Error: +0.29
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (Indonesia) was reported at 6.72% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4.2% by 2.52%. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.05%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.48%, ranging from -6.6% to 21.98% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 7.2%, up from the prior three at 5.75%. Volatility over the past year (σ 8.17%) is higher than the prior year (σ 3.34%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 6.31%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.42%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 2) and Balance of Trade (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Exports YoY - ID
Loading chart data...
About Exports YoY — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 6.72 %, consensus 4.2 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 6.05 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 8.84 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.59) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - ID Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | ID | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.9 | 53.30 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.18 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.84 | 2.8 | 2.78 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.28 | 3.3 | 3.14 | Medium | |
| 04:00 | ID | Balance of Trade | 3.55 | 3.7 | 3.87 | Medium | |
| 05:00 | ID | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.27 | 1.42 | 1.42 | Low | |