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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Foreign Direct Investment YoY fell to -8.9% in July 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2025
Indonesia Foreign Direct Investment YoY fell to -8.9% in July 2025, released October 2025, down 1.9% from June's -7.0% reading. The reading missed the -6.0% consensus by 2.9%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 10.65%. Foreign Direct Investment YoY is now the lowest in 63 months.
Latest Release
-8.9
Actual
-6
Consensus
-7
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Direct Investment YoY (Indonesia) was reported at 27.5% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 27.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 27.47%, up from the prior three at -0.1%. In October readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Direct Investment YoY has averaged 16.16%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 2) and Balance of Trade (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Foreign Direct Investment YoY - ID
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About Foreign Direct Investment YoY — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Foreign Direct Investment YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key financial indicator that measures the change in the amount of investment made by foreign entities in a country over a period of one year. This indicator provides valuable insights into the level of confidence and attractiveness of a country's economy to foreign investors, and can be used to assess the overall health and growth potential of a nation's economy. It is an important tool for policymakers, businesses, and investors to track and analyze the trends in foreign investment and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 27.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 27.4 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 8.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ID Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | ID | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.9 | 53.30 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.18 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.84 | 2.8 | 2.78 | Low | |
| 04:00 | ID | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.28 | 3.3 | 3.14 | Medium | |
| 04:00 | ID | Balance of Trade | 3.55 | 3.7 | 3.87 | Medium | |
| 05:00 | ID | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.27 | 1.42 | 1.42 | Low | |