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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 148.2B in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
Indonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 148.2B in March 2026, released April 2026, down 3.7B from February's 151.9B reading. The reading missed the 164B consensus by 15.8B. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 8.9B. Foreign Exchange Reserves is now the lowest in 19 months.
Latest Release
148.2
Actual
164
Consensus
151.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.86 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2025
Predicted: 159
Actual: 148.7
Error: +10.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Indonesia) was reported at 146.50 billion in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 145.30 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 149.81 billion, ranging from 144.90 billion to 156.50 billion across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 145.57 billion, down from the prior three at 154.33 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.01 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.40 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 149.13 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.86 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - ID
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 146.5 B. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 145.3 B. Before that (May 2026): 144.9 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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