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Indonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 146.3B in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.2B from August's 146.5B reading. The reading missed the 1,440B consensus by 1,293.7B. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 2.4B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 146.03B, vs 145.77B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 20th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Oct 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Indonesia) was reported at 146.30 billion in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1,440.00 billion by 1,293.70 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 146.50 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 149.51 billion, ranging from 144.90 billion to 156.50 billion across 8 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 146.03 billion, down from the prior three at 150.47 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.17 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.56 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 148.30 billion.
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.11 billion.
The next release is scheduled for November 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 2) and Balance of Trade (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 146.3 B, consensus 1,440 B. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 146.3 B. Before that (Aug 2026): 146.5 B.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.9 | 53.30 | Low | ||
| 04:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.18 | Low | ||
| 04:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.84 | 2.8 | 2.78 | Low | ||
| 04:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.28 | 3.3 | 3.14 | Medium | ||
| 04:00 | Balance of Trade | 3.55 | 3.7 | 3.87 | Medium | ||
| 05:00 | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.27 | 1.42 | 1.42 | Low | ||