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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 3.73% in Q2 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Indonesia Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 3.73% in Q2 2026, released August 2026, up 4.5% from March's -0.77% reading. The print exceeded the 3.5% consensus by 0.23%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.85%. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
3.73
Actual
3.5
Consensus
-0.77
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.13 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 3.5
Actual: 3.73
Error: -0.23
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Indonesia) was reported at 3.73% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.5% by 0.23%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.77%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.01%, up from the prior three at 1.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.13%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Aug 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - ID
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product QoQ for Q2 2026 came in at 3.730000%, beating the 3.500000% estimate and rebounding sharply from Q1's -0.770000%. This marks a strong economic expansion following contraction in the previous quarter. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases and central bank policy amid this robust growth. Updated 8/5/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3.73 %, consensus 3.5 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -0.77 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 0.86 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - ID Events
| Monday, August 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | ID | Consumer Confidence | 117.8 | 116 | 116.50 | Low | |
| Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | ID | Retail Sales YoY | -3.9 | 1.8 | 0.10 | Low | |