Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Imports YoY fell to 19.09% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Indonesia Imports YoY fell to 19.09% in August 2026, released October 2026, down 7.93% from July's 27.02% reading. The reading missed the 31.7% consensus by 12.61%. Imports YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 30.65%, vs 15.39% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 76th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
19.09
Actual
31.7
Consensus
27.02
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.23 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 34.67
Actual: 19.09
Error: +15.58
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Indonesia) was reported at 19.09% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 31.7% by 12.61%. The reading fell from the previous value of 27.02%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 15.58%, ranging from -1.15% to 34.27% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 26.79%, up from the prior three at 18.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 10.51%) is higher than the prior year (σ 8.7%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 2.16%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.23%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Oct 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Imports YoY - ID
Loading chart data...
About Imports YoY — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 19.09 %, consensus 31.7 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 27.02 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 34.27 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP