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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Imports YoY climbed to 22.49% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Indonesia Imports YoY climbed to 22.49% in April 2026, released June 2026, up 20.98% from March's 1.51% reading. The print exceeded the 3.25% consensus by 19.24%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 5.58%. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 6.18%, vs 9.83% in the prior 3-month window. Imports YoY is now the highest in 38 months.
Latest Release
22.49
Actual
3.25
Consensus
1.51
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±8 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 3.08
Actual: 22.49
Error: -19.41
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/IDR | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | INDEX | Bearish Nikkei 225 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Indonesia) was reported at 22.49% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.25% by 19.24%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.51%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.07%, ranging from -6.56% to 22.49% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 17.18%, up from the prior three at 3.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.23%) is higher than the prior year (σ 8.11%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 11.83%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/IDR (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 8%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Imports YoY - ID
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About Imports YoY — Indonesia
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 22.49 %, consensus 3.25 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.51 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 10.85 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/IDR (Bullish USD, r=0.48) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.