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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndonesiaIndonesia Retail Sales YoY fell to 3.4 in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Indonesia Retail Sales YoY fell to 3.4 in March 2026, released May 2026, down 3.1 from February's 6.5 reading. The reading missed the 6.8 consensus by 3.4. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 4.28. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 6.23, vs 4.4 in the prior 3-month window. Retail Sales YoY is now the lowest in 8 months.
Latest Release
3.4
Actual
6.8
Consensus
6.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.46 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Feb 2026
Predicted: 6.15
Actual: 3.5
Error: +2.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 6.5. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±1.46. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Watch) and negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Watch).
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Retail Sales YoY - ID
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