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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Consumer Confidence climbed to -20.37% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Israel Consumer Confidence climbed to -20.37% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.85% from August's -22.22% reading. The reading matched the -20.0% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -23.81%, vs -18.12% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 67th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-20.37
Actual
-20
Consensus
-22.22
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -21.66
Actual: -20.37
Error: -1.29
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Israel) was reported at -20.37% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of -20% by 0.37%. The reading rose from the previous value of -22.22%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -17.88%, ranging from -25.41% to -12.36% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -22.67%, down from the prior three at -18.12%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.7%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.01%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -24.06%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.11%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 10, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - IL
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About Consumer Confidence — Israel
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -20.37 %, consensus -20 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): -22.22 %. Before that (Jul 2026): -25.41 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.56) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IL Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | IL | Inflation Expectations | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.55 | Low |