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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Consumer Confidence climbed to -22.22% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Israel Consumer Confidence climbed to -22.22% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 3.19% from July's -25.41% reading. The reading matched the -23.0% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -18.32%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -21.99%, vs -18.55% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 56th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-22.22
Actual
-23
Consensus
-25.41
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: -22.99
Actual: -22.22
Error: -0.77
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Israel) was reported at -22.22% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of -23% by 0.78%. The reading rose from the previous value of -25.41%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -18.32%, ranging from -25.41% to -12.36% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -22.06%, down from the prior three at -17.14%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.22%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.1%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -23.6%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.11%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 13, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - IL
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About Consumer Confidence — Israel
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -22.22 %, consensus -23 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -25.41 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -18.56 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IL Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IL | Imports | 11138.4 | 9694.6 | 8200 | 9669.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Balance of Trade | -5794.4 | -4227.3 | -2700 | -4247.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Exports | 5344 | 5467.3 | 5500 | 5422.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IL | Unemployment Rate | 3.1 | 3 | 2.95 | Low | |
| 15:30 | IL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | IL | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 | Low | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IL | GDP Growth Annualized | 15.4 | -2.2 | 15.4 | 15.28 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Current Account | -0.107 | -0.3 | 0.15 | Low | |