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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Consumer Confidence fell to -18.56% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Israel Consumer Confidence fell to -18.56% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 3.14% from May's -15.42% reading. The print exceeded the -26.0% consensus by 7.44%. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 6.17%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -18.55%, vs -14.95% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 75th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-18.56
Actual
-26
Consensus
-15.42
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.94 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -24.2
Actual: -18.56
Error: -5.64
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Israel) was reported at -18.56% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -26% by 7.44%. The reading fell from the previous value of -15.42%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -17.87%, ranging from -25.21% to -12.36% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -18.12%, down from the prior three at -15.49%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.67%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.9%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -23.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.94%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 10, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - IL
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About Consumer Confidence — Israel
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -18.56 %, consensus -26 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -15.42 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -20.39 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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