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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Consumer Confidence climbed to -15.42% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Israel Consumer Confidence climbed to -15.42% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 4.97% from April's -20.39% reading. The print exceeded the -21.0% consensus by 5.58%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -19.36%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -20.11%, vs -15.49% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 90th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-15.42
Actual
-21
Consensus
-20.39
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.92 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: -20.2
Actual: -15.42
Error: -4.78
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Israel) was reported at -15.42% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -21% by 5.58%. The reading rose from the previous value of -20.39%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -18.44%, ranging from -25.21% to -12.36% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -17.14%, down from the prior three at -15.44%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.17%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.89%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -22.34%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.92%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 12, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - IL
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About Consumer Confidence — Israel
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -15.42 %, consensus -21 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -20.39 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -19.83 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.65) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.