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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael Exports fell to 5,344M in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Israel Exports fell to 5,344M in August 2026, released September 2026, down 123.3M from July's 5,467.3M reading. The reading matched the 5,500M consensus. Exports has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 5,800.25M, vs 5,332.55M in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 74th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
5344
Actual
5500
Consensus
5467.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±358.73 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 6,991.25
Actual: 5,618
Error: +1,373.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (Israel) was reported at 5,344.00 million in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 5,500.00 million by 156.00 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 5,467.30 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5,154.44 million, ranging from 4,386.30 million to 6,047.40 million across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 5,882.63 million, up from the prior three at 4,853.57 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 562.67 million) is comparable than the prior year (σ 517.42 million). In August readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 5,306.37 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 358.73 million.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Exports - IL
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About Exports — Israel
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 5,344 M, consensus 5,500 M. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 5,618 M. Before that (Jun 2026): 5,982.5 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.64) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - IL Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | IL | Imports | 11138.4 | 9694.6 | 8200 | 9669.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Balance of Trade | -5794.4 | -4227.3 | -2700 | -4247.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Exports | 5344 | 5467.3 | 5500 | 5422.00 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IL | Unemployment Rate | 3.1 | 3 | 2.95 | Low | |
| 15:30 | IL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | IL | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 | Low | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | IL | GDP Growth Annualized | 15.4 | -2.2 | 15.4 | 15.28 | Low |
| 10:00 | IL | Current Account | -0.107 | -0.3 | 0.15 | Low | |