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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IsraelIsrael GDP Growth Annualized fell to -3.8% in January 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased July 2026
Israel GDP Growth Annualized fell to -3.8% in January 2026, released July 2026, down 6.6% from December's 2.8% reading. The reading matched the -3.8% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.0%. Over the past 3 months, GDP Growth Annualized averaged -3.55%, vs 3.83% in the prior 3-month window. GDP Growth Annualized is now the lowest in 8 months.
Latest Release
-3.8
Actual
-3.8
Consensus
2.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.74 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -4.05
Actual: -3.8
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Annualized (Israel) was reported at -3.8% in July 2026. This matched the market consensus of -3.8% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.85%, ranging from -4% to 12.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -3.63%, down from the prior three at 6.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.59%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.21%). In July readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Annualized has averaged 4.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.74%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 17, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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GDP Growth Annualized - IL
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About GDP Growth Annualized — Israel
DEFINITION
GDP Growth Annualized is a key economic indicator that measures the annualized rate of change in a country's gross domestic product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and growth of an economy, as well as its ability to produce goods and services. This indicator is closely monitored by governments, businesses, and investors as it can impact financial markets and influence policy decisions. A positive GDP Growth Annualized indicates a growing economy, while a negative growth rate may signal a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual -3.8 %, consensus -3.8 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -3.8 %. Before that (Jan 2026): -3.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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