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Balance of Trade climbed to -20.67 in April 2026, up 6.43 from March's -27.1 reading. The print exceeded the -32.75 consensus by 12.08. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -45.24. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged -43.26, vs -48.82 in the prior 3-month window. Balance of Trade is now the highest in 8 months.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -27.1. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500) and positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 | CPI YoY | 3.4 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Medium | ||
| 10:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.8 | 3.92 | Medium | ||
| 10:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.26 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.26 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 10:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.8 | 3.92 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:30 | WPI Manufacturing YoY | 3.39 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Low | ||
| 06:30 | WPI Inflation YoY | 3.88 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low | ||
| 06:30 | WPI Food Index YoY | 1.85 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Low | ||
| 06:30 | WPI Fuel YoY | 1.05 | 3 | 3.00 | Low | ||