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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndiaIndia Exports fell to 40.41B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
India Exports fell to 40.41B in June 2026, released July 2026, down 4.79B from May's 45.2B reading. The reading matched the 42B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 5.27B. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 42.62B, vs 37.36B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 82nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
40.41
Actual
42
Consensus
45.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.34 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Nov 2025
Predicted: 35.39
Actual: 34.38
Error: +1.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (India) was reported at 44.20 billion in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 40.40 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 39.00 billion, ranging from 34.38 billion to 45.20 billion across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 43.27 billion, up from the prior three at 38.91 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.62 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.31 billion). In August readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 38.17 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with NIFTY 50 (Bearish NIFTY 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.35 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 15, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 15) and HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Exports - IN
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About Exports — India
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 44.2 B. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 44.2 B. Before that (Jun 2026): 40.41 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - IN Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | IN | WPI Manufacturing YoY | 8.37 | 8.29 | 8.5 | 9.11 | Low |
| 06:30 | IN | WPI Inflation YoY | 9.92 | 9.78 | 9.89 | 10.04 | Low |
| 06:30 | IN | WPI Food Index YoY | 7.05 | 6.65 | 6.7 | 7.38 | Low |
| 06:30 | IN | WPI Fuel YoY | 22.93 | 20.05 | 15 | 18.31 | Low |
| 10:30 | IN | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.73 | 0.88 | 0.6 | 0.67 | Low |
| 10:30 | IN | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.82 | 4.44 | 4.8 | 4.81 | Medium |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | IN | Balance of Trade | -31.98 | -33 | -33.61 | Medium | |
| 10:30 | IN | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.30 | Low | |