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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndiaIndia Exports climbed to 38.92B in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
India Exports climbed to 38.92B in March 2026, released April 2026, up 2.31B from February's 36.61B reading. The reading matched the 38B consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 36.64B. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 37.36B, vs 36.26B in the prior 3-month window. Exports is now the highest in 11 months.
Latest Release
38.92
Actual
38
Consensus
36.61
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.34 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Nov 2025
Predicted: 35.39
Actual: 34.38
Error: +1.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.77 | INDEX | Bearish NIFTY 50 | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | INDEX | Bearish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | INDEX | Bearish Hang Seng | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/INR | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (India) was reported at 45.20 billion in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 43.56 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 37.30 billion, ranging from 34.38 billion to 43.56 billion across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 38.91 billion, up from the prior three at 37.01 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.30 billion) is comparable than the prior year (σ 2.55 billion). In May readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 39.01 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with NIFTY 50 (Bearish NIFTY 50). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.35 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MPC Meeting Minutes (Jun 19) and Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Exports - IN
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About Exports — India
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 45.2 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 45.2 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 43.56 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with NIFTY 50 (Bearish NIFTY 50, r=-0.77) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.