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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndiaIndia Imports climbed to 74.61B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
India Imports climbed to 74.61B in September 2026, released October 2026, up 3.94B from August's 70.67B reading. The print exceeded the 69B consensus by 5.61B. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 6.08B. Over the past 3 months, Imports averaged 73.44B, vs 72.26B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
74.61
Actual
69
Consensus
70.67
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.5 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 69
Actual: 74.61
Error: -5.61
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports (India) was reported at 74.61 billion in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 69.00 billion by 5.61 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 70.67 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 70.44 billion, ranging from 62.66 billion to 76.20 billion across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 73.83 billion, up from the prior three at 72.06 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.74 billion) is comparable than the prior year (σ 5.18 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Imports has averaged 66.17 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.50 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 12).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Imports - IN
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About Imports — India
DEFINITION
Imports refer to the goods and services that a country purchases from other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the amount of foreign goods and services that are brought into a country, and is an important factor in determining a country's trade balance and overall economic health. High levels of imports can indicate a strong demand for foreign products, while low levels may suggest a weaker economy or a focus on domestic production. Tracking imports can provide valuable insights into a country's trade relationships and global economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 74.61 B, consensus 69 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 70.67 B. Before that (Aug 2026): 70.67 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IN Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 | IN | Government Budget Value | -7144.1 | -7102.5 | -6800 | -6972.05 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | IN | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.9 | 54.7 | 54.50 | Low | |