Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
IndiaIndia Infrastructure Output YoY climbed to 1.7% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
India Infrastructure Output YoY climbed to 1.7% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.5% from March's 1.2% reading. The print exceeded the -0.5% consensus by 2.2%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.23%. Over the past 3 months, Infrastructure Output YoY averaged 1.97%, vs 2.75% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 23rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
-0.5
Consensus
1.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.54 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -0.83
Actual: 1.7
Error: -2.52
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | INDEX | Bullish Hang Seng | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Infrastructure Output YoY (India) was reported at 1.7% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.5% by 2.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.47%, ranging from 0% to 6.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.67%, up from the prior three at 1.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.65%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.17%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Infrastructure Output YoY has averaged 2.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.54%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MPC Meeting Minutes (Jun 19) and Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Infrastructure Output YoY - IN
Loading chart data...
About Infrastructure Output YoY — India
DEFINITION
Infrastructure Output YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the output of infrastructure industries over a 12-month period. This includes sectors such as construction, energy, and transportation, which are crucial for the development and functioning of a country's economy. This indicator provides valuable insights into the overall health and growth of the infrastructure sector, which is a key driver of economic activity and investment. It is often used by investors, policymakers, and analysts to assess the performance and potential of the infrastructure industry.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.7 %, consensus -0.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -0.4 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 2.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng, r=0.65) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.