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Japan Average Cash Earnings YoY fell to 2.7 in March 2026, released May 2026, down 0.7 from February's 3.4 reading. The reading missed the 3.2 consensus by 0.5. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.44. Over the past 3 months, Average Cash Earnings YoY averaged 2.9, vs 1.55 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 50th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 3.4. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.64. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC) and negatively correlated with AUD/JPY (Bearish AUD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:50 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4.9 | 2.9 | 3 | 3.95 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.3 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.50 | Low | |
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Machine Tool Orders YoY | 45.1 | 28.1 | 28.1 | 36.60 | Low | |