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Bank Lending YoY climbed to 4.8 in March 2026, up 0.3 from February's 4.5 reading. The print exceeded the 4.4 consensus by 0.4. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 3.56. Over the past 3 months, Bank Lending YoY averaged 4.47, vs 4.15 in the prior 3-month window. Bank Lending YoY is now the highest in 36 months.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 4.5. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD) and positively correlated with GBP/JPY (Bullish GBP).
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| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 | Household Spending YoY | -2.9 | -1.8 | -1.3 | -2.10 | Medium | |
| 23:30 | Household Spending MoM | -1.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | -0.35 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | Leading Economic Index | 114.5 | 113.2 | 114.6 | 114.55 | Low | |
| 05:00 | Coincident Index | 116.5 | 116.2 | 112 | 114.25 | Low | |
| 05:00 | CB Leading Index | 114.5 | 113.2 | 114.4 | 114.45 | Low | |
| 23:50 | Current Account | 3933 | 3879 | 3879.00 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | Bank Lending YoY | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | Eco Watchers Survey Outlook | 38.7 | 36 | 36.00 | Low | ||
| 05:00 | Eco Watchers Survey Current | 42.2 | 41.6 | 41.60 | Low | ||