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Japan Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.4 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 0.6 from February's -0.2 reading. The print came in hotter than the 0.2 consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.12. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate MoM averaged -0.2, vs 0.4 in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Rate MoM is now the highest in 13 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.71 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -0.2. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.15. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC) and positively correlated with GBP/JPY (Bullish GBP).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Machine Tool Orders YoY | 45.1 | 28.1 | 28.1 | 36.60 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Growth Annualized | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.70 | Medium | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Private Consumption QoQ | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.15 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ | 1.3 | 0.2 | -78006.20 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | GDP Price Index YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 2.95 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | GDP External Demand QoQ | 0 | 0.2 | 0.15 | Low | ||
| 23:50 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.35 | High | ||
| 23:50 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.00 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:30 | Tertiary Industry Index MoM | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.40 | Low | ||
| 04:30 | Capacity Utilization | -0.1 | 0.3 | -0.55 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | Reuters Tankan Index | 7 | 8 | 10.00 | Low | ||