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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
KyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan Industrial Production YoY fell to 16.8% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Kyrgyzstan Industrial Production YoY fell to 16.8% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 0.6% from March's 17.4% reading. The print exceeded the 12.0% consensus by 4.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 9.03%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged 14.4%, vs 11.93% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 78th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
16.8
Actual
12
Consensus
17.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.09 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 13.95
Actual: 16.8
Error: -2.85
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.73 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.62 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Kyrgyzstan) was reported at 16.8% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 12% by 4.8%. The reading fell from the previous value of 17.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.13%, ranging from -5.8% to 16.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 14.2%, up from the prior three at 8.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.1%) is lower than the prior year (σ 9.33%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production YoY has averaged 7.27%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.09%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Industrial Production YoY - KG
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About Industrial Production YoY — Kyrgyzstan
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 16.8 %, consensus 12 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 17.4 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 13.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.73) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.