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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Consumer Confidence fell to 105.4% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
South Korea Consumer Confidence fell to 105.4% in October 2026, down 1.2% from September's 106.6% reading. The reading matched the 107.0% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 4.4%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 105.55%, vs 106.5% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 41st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
105.4
Actual
107
Consensus
106.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.41 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 106.83
Actual: 105.4
Error: +1.42
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| KOSPI | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (South Korea) was reported at 105.4% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 107% by 1.6%. The reading fell from the previous value of 106.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 107.74%, ranging from 104.5% to 112.4% across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 105.5%, down from the prior three at 106.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.61%) is lower than the prior year (σ 8.27%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 105.63%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.41%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Nov 1) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - KR
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About Consumer Confidence — South Korea
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 105.4 %, consensus 107 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 106.6 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 104.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bullish Nikkei 225, r=0.56) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Sunday, November 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | KR | Balance of Trade | 49.97 | 37.24 | 37.61 | Low | |
| 00:00 | KR | Imports YoY | 26 | 39.9 | 39.85 | Low | |
| 00:00 | KR | Exports YoY | 83.7 | 93.2 | 95.10 | Medium | |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | KR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 54.2 | 54.50 | Medium | |