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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Current Account fell to 42.08B in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
South Korea Current Account fell to 42.08B in July 2026, released September 2026, down 7.65B from June's 49.73B reading. The reading missed the 50B consensus by 7.92B. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 21.8B. Over the past 3 months, Current Account averaged 44.17B, vs 29.6B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
42.08
Actual
50
Consensus
49.73
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.65 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 55.16
Actual: 42.08
Error: +13.08
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/KRW | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (South Korea) was reported at 42.08 billion in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 50.00 billion by 7.92 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 49.73 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 23.23 billion, ranging from 6.81 billion to 49.73 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 43.47 billion, up from the prior three at 20.08 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 14.57 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 3.08 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged 20.66 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/KRW (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.65 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Sep 22) and Business Confidence (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Current Account - KR
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About Current Account — South Korea
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 42.08 B, consensus 50 B. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 49.73 B. Before that (May 2026): 38.61 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/KRW (Bearish USD, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | KR | Import Prices YoY | 15.6 | 18.8 | 23 | 19.30 | Low |
| 21:00 | KR | Export Prices YoY | 42.4 | 48.9 | 52 | 47.20 | Low |