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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Export Prices YoY fell to 42.4% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
South Korea Export Prices YoY fell to 42.4% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 6.7% from July's 49.1% reading. The reading missed the 52.0% consensus by 9.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 20.95%. Over the past 3 months, Export Prices YoY averaged 49.0%, vs 38.8% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
42.4
Actual
52
Consensus
49.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.98 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 54.65
Actual: 49.1
Error: +5.55
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Export Prices YoY (South Korea) was reported at 42.4% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 52% by 9.6%. The reading fell from the previous value of 49.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 20.25%, ranging from -1% to 49.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 48.3%, up from the prior three at 19.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 20.09%) is higher than the prior year (σ 5%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Export Prices YoY has averaged 19.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.98%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Sep 22) and Business Confidence (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Export Prices YoY - KR
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About Export Prices YoY — South Korea
DEFINITION
Export Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the prices of goods and services exported by a country. It provides valuable insights into the competitiveness of a country's exports and the impact of global market trends on its trade performance. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and investors as it can indicate potential shifts in inflation, currency values, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 42.4 %, consensus 52 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 49.1 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 48.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | KR | Import Prices YoY | 15.6 | 18.7 | 23 | 19.73 | Low |
| 21:00 | KR | Export Prices YoY | 42.4 | 49.1 | 52 | 50.08 | Low |