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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Export Prices YoY climbed to 48.9% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
South Korea Export Prices YoY climbed to 48.9% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 1.8% from May's 47.1% reading. The reading missed the 52.2% consensus by 3.3%. Export Prices YoY has now risen for 7 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Export Prices YoY averaged 43.85%, vs 15.73% in the prior 3-month window. Export Prices YoY is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
48.9
Actual
52.2
Consensus
47.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.93 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 55.13
Actual: 48.9
Error: +6.23
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Export Prices YoY (South Korea) was reported at 48.9% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 52.2% by 3.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 47.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 15.39%, ranging from -4.3% to 48.9% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 45.53%, up from the prior three at 8%. Volatility over the past year (σ 18.95%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.99%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Export Prices YoY has averaged 18.87%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.93%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 13, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Export Prices YoY - KR
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About Export Prices YoY — South Korea
DEFINITION
Export Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the prices of goods and services exported by a country. It provides valuable insights into the competitiveness of a country's exports and the impact of global market trends on its trade performance. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and investors as it can indicate potential shifts in inflation, currency values, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 48.9 %, consensus 52.2 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 46.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 40.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.62) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Saturday, August 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | KR | Exports YoY | 62.8 | 70.7 | 59 | 60.90 | Medium |
| 00:00 | KR | Imports YoY | 26.5 | 30 | 26.6 | 26.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | KR | Balance of Trade | 30.32 | 36.09 | 29.59 | 29.95 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | KR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 52.5 | 52.80 | Medium | |
| 23:00 | KR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 23:00 | KR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Medium | |