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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Exports YoY climbed to 53.2% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
South Korea Exports YoY climbed to 53.2% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 5.2% from April's 48.0% reading. The print exceeded the 48.4% consensus by 4.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 20.16%. Over the past 3 months, Exports YoY averaged 41.67%, vs 19.58% in the prior 3-month window. Exports YoY is now the highest in 25 months.
Latest Release
53.2
Actual
48.4
Consensus
48
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 49.18
Actual: 53.2
Error: -4.03
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (South Korea) was reported at 53.2% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 48.4% by 4.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 48%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 18.4%, ranging from 1.2% to 53.2% across 15 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 43.4%, up from the prior three at 25.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 15.86%) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.58%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 15.58%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Jun 22) and Business Confidence (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Exports YoY - KR
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About Exports YoY — South Korea
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 53.2 %, consensus 48.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 48 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 48.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.