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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Exports YoY climbed to 68.7% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
South Korea Exports YoY climbed to 68.7% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 5.7% from July's 63.0% reading. The print exceeded the 62.6% consensus by 6.1%. Exports YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Exports YoY is now the highest in 26 months.
Latest Release
68.7
Actual
62.6
Consensus
63
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 64.5
Actual: 68.7
Error: -4.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (South Korea) was reported at 68.7% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 62.6% by 6.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 63%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 25.1%, ranging from 1.2% to 68.7% across 16 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 61.57%, up from the prior three at 35.33%. Volatility over the past year (σ 21.5%) is higher than the prior year (σ 5.4%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 27.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Sep 22) and Business Confidence (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Exports YoY - KR
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About Exports YoY — South Korea
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 68.7 %, consensus 62.6 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 62.8 %. Before that (May 2026): 53.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | KR | Import Prices YoY | 15.6 | 18.7 | 23 | 19.73 | Low |
| 21:00 | KR | Export Prices YoY | 42.4 | 49.1 | 52 | 50.08 | Low |