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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.7% in Q2 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
South Korea Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.7% in Q2 2026, released June 2026, up 1.8% from March's -0.1% reading. The reading matched the 1.7% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.48%. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
1.7
Consensus
-0.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 8 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 1.7
Actual: 1.7
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/KRW | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (South Korea) was reported at 1.7% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.7% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.93%, up from the prior three at 0.83%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/KRW (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Aug 1) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - KR
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — South Korea
DEFINITION
South Korea's Gross Domestic Product QoQ rose 1.800000% in Q2 2026, beating the 1.700000% estimate and reversing the -0.200000% contraction in Q1 2026. This marks a strong rebound from the previous quarter's decline, signaling robust economic expansion. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank policy amid this growth momentum. Updated 6/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.8 %, consensus 1.7 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.7 %. Before that (Oct 2025): -0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/KRW (Bearish USD, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | KR | Industrial Production YoY | 5.8 | -1.1 | 2.5 | 4.15 | Low |
| 23:00 | KR | Retail Sales MoM | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.60 | Low |
| 23:00 | KR | Industrial Production MoM | 6.4 | -2.9 | 3 | 4.70 | Low |