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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 3.8% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
South Korea Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 3.8% in April 2026, released June 2026, up 2.2% from March's 1.6% reading. The print exceeded the 3.6% consensus by 0.2%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
3.8
Actual
3.6
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 3.6
Actual: 3.8
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/KRW | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (South Korea) was reported at 3.8% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.6% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.4%, up from the prior three at 0.93%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/KRW (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Aug 1) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - KR
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — South Korea
DEFINITION
South Korea's Gross Domestic Product YoY for April came in at 3.600000%, matching estimates and up from March's 1.600000%, signaling a strong acceleration in economic growth. This marks a significant expansion compared to the prior month, reflecting robust activity in the second quarter. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation amid steady central bank policy. Updated 6/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3.6 %, consensus 3.6 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 3.6 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 1.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/KRW (Bearish USD, r=-0.60) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | KR | Industrial Production YoY | 5.8 | -1.1 | 2.5 | 4.15 | Low |
| 23:00 | KR | Retail Sales MoM | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.60 | Low |
| 23:00 | KR | Industrial Production MoM | 6.4 | -2.9 | 3 | 4.70 | Low |