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South Korea Import Prices YoY climbed to 17.6% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.7% from August's 15.9% reading. The print exceeded the 15.3% consensus by 2.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 10.16%. Over the past 3 months, Import Prices YoY averaged 17.15%, vs 21.87% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Oct 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Import Prices YoY (South Korea) was reported at 17.6% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 15.3% by 2.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 15.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.95%, ranging from -1.2% to 24.8% across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 17.3%, down from the prior three at 21.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 9.72%) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.56%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Import Prices YoY has averaged 4.97%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.83%.
The next release is scheduled for November 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Exports YoY (Nov 1) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
Import Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services imported into a country over a period of one year. This indicator is used to track the impact of international trade on a country's economy and can provide valuable insights into inflation and the strength of the domestic currency. It is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to assess the competitiveness of a country's imports and its overall economic health.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 17.6 %, consensus 15.3 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 15.6 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 18.7 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.51) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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| Sunday, November 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Balance of Trade | 49.97 | 37.24 | 37.61 | Low | ||
| 00:00 | Imports YoY | 26 | 39.9 | 39.85 | Low | ||
| 00:00 | Exports YoY | 83.7 | 93.2 | 95.10 | Medium | ||
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 54.2 | 54.50 | Medium | ||