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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
South KoreaSouth Korea Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 8.5% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
South Korea Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 8.5% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.3% from April's 7.2% reading. The print exceeded the 7.2% consensus by 1.3%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 4.47%, vs 1.9% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 16 months.
Latest Release
8.5
Actual
7.2
Consensus
7.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.24 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 7.83
Actual: 8.5
Error: -0.67
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOSPI | ▲ Direct | +0.72 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (South Korea) was reported at 8.5% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 7.2% by 1.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 7.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.73%, ranging from 0.5% to 8.5% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 5.93%, up from the prior three at 1.9%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.57%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.51%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with KOSPI (Bullish KOSPI). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.24%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 20, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - KR
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About Producer Price Index YoY — South Korea
DEFINITION
South Korea's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 8.500% in June, beating the 7.200% estimate and prior May's 6.900%. This marks a sharp acceleration from May's reading, indicating rising input costs and sustained inflationary pressures. Market focus will remain on the Bank of Korea's response amid persistent price gains. Updated 6/18/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 8.5 %, consensus 7.2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 6.9 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 4.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with KOSPI (Bullish KOSPI, r=0.72) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - KR Events
| Saturday, August 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | KR | Exports YoY | 62.8 | 70.7 | 59 | 60.90 | Medium |
| 00:00 | KR | Imports YoY | 26.5 | 30 | 26.6 | 26.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | KR | Balance of Trade | 30.32 | 36.09 | 29.59 | 29.95 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | KR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 52.5 | 52.80 | Medium | |
| 23:00 | KR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Medium | |
| 23:00 | KR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| Wednesday, August 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:00 | KR | Current Account | 38.61 | 34.7 | 34.70 | Low | |