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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
KuwaitKuwait Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 2.39% in July 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2025
Kuwait Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 2.39% in July 2025, released August 2025, up 0.07% from June's 2.32% reading. The reading matched expectations. Inflation Rate YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate YoY averaged 2.27%, vs 2.35% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 25th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.39
Actual
2.3
Consensus
2.32
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.09 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2025
Predicted: 2.22
Actual: 2.39
Error: -0.17
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate YoY (Kuwait) was reported at 2.39% in August 2025. This beat the market consensus of 2.3% by 0.09%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.32%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.32%, up from the prior three at 2.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.09%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2025.
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Inflation Rate YoY - KW
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About Inflation Rate YoY — Kuwait
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services over a 12-month period. It is a key measure of inflation and is used by economists and policymakers to monitor the health of an economy and make informed decisions regarding monetary policy. A higher inflation rate can indicate a growing economy, but if it rises too quickly, it can lead to negative effects such as decreased purchasing power and higher interest rates. Conversely, a lower inflation rate can signal a slowing economy, but if it falls too low, it can lead to deflation and potential economic instability. The Inflation Rate YoY is an important tool for understanding and managing the impact of price changes on the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2025): actual 2.39 %, consensus 2.3 %. Prior reading (Apr 2025): 2.25 %. Before that (Apr 2025): 2.25 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.61) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.