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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Sri LankaSri Lanka Current Account fell to -134M in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Sri Lanka Current Account fell to -134M in October 2025, released March 2026, down 543M from September's 409M reading. The reading missed the 130M consensus by 264M. Current Account has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Current Account is now the lowest in 6 months.
Latest Release
-134
Actual
130
Consensus
409
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±251.75 million
across last 8 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 130
Actual: -134
Error: +264
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Sri Lanka) was reported at -134.00 million in March 2026. This missed the market consensus of 130.00 million by 264.00 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 409.00 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 255.67 million, up from the prior three at 161.33 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 251.75 million.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Current Account - LK
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About Current Account — Sri Lanka
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual -134 M, consensus 130 M. Prior reading (Jul 2025): 400 M. Before that (Apr 2025): 501 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.