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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Sri LankaSri Lanka Manufacturing PMI climbed to 56.8 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Sri Lanka Manufacturing PMI climbed to 56.8 in February 2026, released March 2026, up 0.7 from January's 56.1 reading. The reading matched the 56.8 consensus. Over the past 3 months, Manufacturing PMI averaged 58.5, vs 56.56 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 66th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
56.8
Actual
56.8
Consensus
56.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.34
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 57.53
Actual: 56.8
Error: +0.73
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Manufacturing PMI (Sri Lanka) was reported at 56.80 in March 2026. This matched the market consensus of 56.80 exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 56.10. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 57.22, ranging from 51.90 to 62.20 across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 57.93, up from the prior three at 57.30. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.21) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.69). In March readings over the past 3 years, Manufacturing PMI has averaged 56.53.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.34.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Manufacturing PMI - LK
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About Manufacturing PMI — Sri Lanka
DEFINITION
Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a key economic indicator that measures the health of the manufacturing sector in a country. It is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers from various industries, providing valuable insights into production levels, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction. This widely followed indicator is used by investors, businesses, and policymakers to assess the overall economic performance and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 56.8. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 56.1. Before that (Dec 2025): 60.9.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.