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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 2.3% in January 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased June 2026
Lithuania GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 2.3% in January 2026, released June 2026, down 1.0% from December's 3.3% reading. The print exceeded the 2.1% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.89%. The reading is in the 38th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.3
Actual
2.1
Consensus
3.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.43 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 2.1
Actual: 2.3
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.92 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.73 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 2.3% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.1% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.61%, ranging from 1.7% to 3.1% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.83%, up from the prior three at 2.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.56%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.77%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.43%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - LT
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 2.3 %, consensus 2.1 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 2.1 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 3.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.92) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.