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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 4.1% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased September 2026
Lithuania GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 4.1% in April 2026, released September 2026, up 1.6% from March's 2.5% reading. The reading matched the 4.1% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.91%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the highest in 49 months.
Latest Release
4.1
Actual
4.1
Consensus
2.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.49 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 5
Actual: 4.1
Error: +0.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.49 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Lithuania) was reported at 4.1% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 4.1% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.91%, ranging from 1.7% to 4.1% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.5%, up from the prior three at 2.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.89%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.53%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.49%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - LT
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Lithuania
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 4.1 %, consensus 4.1 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 4.1 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 2.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.61) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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