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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Producer Price Index MoM fell to 0.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Latvia Producer Price Index MoM fell to 0.1% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.4% from June's 0.5% reading. The reading missed the 0.6% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.23%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.75%, vs -0.4% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 41st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.1
Actual
0.6
Consensus
0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.52 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.53
Actual: 0.1
Error: +0.43
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Latvia) was reported at 0.1% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.6% by 0.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.51%, ranging from 0.1% to 1% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.53%, up from the prior three at 0.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.33%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.21%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.52%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 21, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - LV
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Latvia
DEFINITION
Latvia's Producer Price Index MoM rose 0.10% in July, missing the 0.60% estimate and down from June's 0.90%. The slowdown signals a marked deceleration in producer price inflation compared to the prior month. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank commentary for further guidance. Updated 8/21/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 0.1 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.60) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - LV Events
| Monday, September 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | LV | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.5 | 3 | 3.15 | Low | |
| 10:00 | LV | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.95 | Low | |