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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Producer Price Index MoM fell to 0.5% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Latvia Producer Price Index MoM fell to 0.5% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.1% from August's 0.6% reading. The print exceeded the 0.4% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.32%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.3%, vs 0.75% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 63rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.5
Actual
0.4
Consensus
0.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.35 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.23
Actual: 0.5
Error: -0.27
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Latvia) was reported at 0.5% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.4% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.5%, ranging from 0.1% to 0.9% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.37%, down from the prior three at 0.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.26%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.11%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.35%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 23, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - LV
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Latvia
DEFINITION
Latvia's Producer Price Index MoM rose 0.500000% in October, matching September's 0.5% and beating the 0.4% estimate. The index held steady after a slight increase from August's 0.1%, indicating stable producer inflation pressures. Market focus remains on upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid steady price trends. Updated 10/21/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 0.5 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.5 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.41) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - LV Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | LV | Industrial Production MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 11:00 | LV | Industrial Production YoY | 0.3 | 0.8 | -1.70 | Low | |