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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.9% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Latvia Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.9% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.4% from April's 0.5% reading. The print exceeded the 0.4% consensus by 0.5%. Producer Price Index MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged -0.3%, vs 0.5% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index MoM is now the highest in 8 months.
Latest Release
0.9
Actual
0.4
Consensus
0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.59 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0
Actual: 0.9
Error: -0.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Latvia) was reported at 0.9% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.4% by 0.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.49%, ranging from -0.1% to 1% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.63%, up from the prior three at 0.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.37%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.31%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.59%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 21, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - LV
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Latvia
DEFINITION
Latvia's Producer Price Index MoM rose 0.900000% in May, beating the 0.400000% estimate and up from April's 0.600000%. This marks a clear acceleration in producer price inflation after a contraction of -1.2% in April. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid this upward trend. Updated 6/19/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.9 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.6 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -1.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - LV Events
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | LV | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Low | |
| 10:00 | LV | Industrial Production YoY | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.50 | Low | |