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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.6% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Latvia Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.6% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 2.6% from March's -2.0% reading. The reading missed the 1.4% consensus by 0.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.06%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged -0.4%, vs 0.35% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 73rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.6
Actual
1.4
Consensus
-2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.59 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.4
Actual: 0.6
Error: +0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Latvia) was reported at 0.6% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.4% by 0.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of -2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.31%, ranging from -0.5% to 1% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.53%, up from the prior three at 0.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.59%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 19, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - LV
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Latvia
DEFINITION
Latvia's Producer Price Index MoM rose 0.60% in May, missing the 1.40% estimate but rebounding from April's -1.20%. May's increase follows a sharp contraction in April, signaling a partial recovery in producer prices. Market focus now shifts to upcoming inflation data for further clarity on price trends. Updated 5/25/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.6 %, consensus 1.4 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -1.2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.