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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 0.9% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Latvia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 0.9% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 1.0% from March's -0.1% reading. The reading missed the 2.6% consensus by 1.7%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 0.0%, vs 1.65% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 50th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.9
Actual
2.6
Consensus
-0.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.55 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.7
Actual: 0.9
Error: +0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Latvia) was reported at 0.9% in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2.6% by 1.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.63%, ranging from -0.8% to 2.1% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.43%, down from the prior three at 1.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.55%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 19, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - LV
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Latvia
DEFINITION
Latvia's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 0.90% in May, missing the 2.60% estimate but improving from April's 0.80%. The index shows a modest upward trend after a sharp decline in March's -0.80%, indicating a slow recovery in producer prices. Market focus now shifts to upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid subdued price pressures. Updated 5/25/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.9 %, consensus 2.6 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.8 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.59) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.