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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 1.8% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Latvia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 1.8% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.1% from April's 0.7% reading. The print exceeded the 1.5% consensus by 0.3%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 0.85%, vs 0.2% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 78th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
1.5
Consensus
0.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.55 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.65
Actual: 1.8
Error: -1.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Latvia) was reported at 1.8% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.5% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.91%, ranging from -0.8% to 2.1% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.63%, down from the prior three at 1.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.97%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.26%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.55%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 21, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - LV
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Latvia
DEFINITION
Latvia's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 1.800% in June, beating the 1.500% estimate and up from May's 0.9%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer price inflation compared to the previous month, indicating expanding price pressures. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this trend amid ongoing monetary policy considerations. Updated 6/19/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1.8 %, consensus 1.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.9 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.58) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - LV Events
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | LV | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Low | |
| 10:00 | LV | Industrial Production YoY | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.50 | Low | |