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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.1% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Latvia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.1% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.4% from August's 2.7% reading. The print exceeded the 2.9% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.26%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 3.05%, vs 1.35% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 92nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.1
Actual
2.9
Consensus
2.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.31 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 2.68
Actual: 3.1
Error: -0.43
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Latvia) was reported at 3.1% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.9% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.79%, ranging from -0.8% to 3.5% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.07%, up from the prior three at 0.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.21%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.16%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.31%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 23, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - LV
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Latvia
DEFINITION
Latvia's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 3.100% in October, surpassing the 2.900% estimate and up from September's 2.600%. This increase signals accelerating producer inflation compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch for central bank responses amid rising input costs. Updated 10/21/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.1 %, consensus 2.9 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.6 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 3.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.51) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - LV Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | LV | Industrial Production MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 11:00 | LV | Industrial Production YoY | 0.3 | 0.8 | -1.70 | Low | |