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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MoldovaMoldova Industrial Production YoY climbed to 10.6% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Moldova Industrial Production YoY climbed to 10.6% in June 2026, released August 2026, up 2.3% from May's 8.3% reading. The print exceeded the 6.0% consensus by 4.6%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7.62%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production YoY averaged 9.4%, vs 6.13% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 75th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
10.6
Actual
6
Consensus
8.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 7.45
Actual: 10.6
Error: -3.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production YoY (Moldova) was reported at 10.6% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 6% by 4.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of 8.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.21%, ranging from 3.3% to 12.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 9.8%, down from the prior three at 10.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.53%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.22%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production YoY has averaged 3.83%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 21, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Industrial Production YoY - MD
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About Industrial Production YoY — Moldova
DEFINITION
Industrial Production YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors over a 12-month period. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of a country's industrial sector, which is a crucial component of its overall economic performance. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can signal potential shifts in the economy and help inform business and investment decisions. A positive YoY growth in industrial production indicates a strong and expanding industrial sector, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 10.6 %, consensus 6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 8.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 10.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.42) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MD Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | MD | Interest Rate Decision | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.75 | Low | |