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Inflation Rate YoY climbed to 10.1 in April 2026, up 2.7 from March's 7.4 reading. The print came in hotter than the 8.0 consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. Inflation Rate YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate YoY averaged 7.13, vs 8.3 in the prior 3-month window. Inflation Rate YoY is now the highest in 31 months.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 7.4. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD) and negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
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| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | Balance of Trade | 735 | 939 | 850 | 1031.63 | Low | |