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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MongoliaMongolia Interest Rate Decision held to 12.0% in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Mongolia Interest Rate Decision held to 12.0% in March 2026. The reading matched the 12.0% consensus. Interest Rate Decision is now the highest in 24 months.
Latest Release
12
Actual
12
Consensus
12
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.25 percentage points
across last 8 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 12
Actual: 12
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Mongolia) was reported at 12% in March 2026. This matched the market consensus of 12% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 12%, up from the prior three at 10.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - MN
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About Interest Rate Decision — Mongolia
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 12 %, consensus 12 %. Prior reading (Dec 2025): 12 %. Before that (Sep 2025): 12 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.