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Balance of Trade climbed to 24.6 in March 2026, up 7.9 from February's 16.7 reading. The print exceeded the 15 consensus by 9.6. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 14.4. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged 19.13, vs 12.55 in the prior 3-month window. Balance of Trade is now the highest in 11 months.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 16.7. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 7.5 | 7.7 | 5 | 5.85 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:00 | Unemployment Rate | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.80 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:00 | Construction Output YoY | 10.3 | 7.6 | 7.30 | Low | ||