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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Exports YoY climbed to 45.5% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Malaysia Exports YoY climbed to 45.5% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 7.5% from July's 38.0% reading. The print exceeded the 38.0% consensus by 7.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 20.96%. Over the past 3 months, Exports YoY averaged 41.7%, vs 30.17% in the prior 3-month window. Exports YoY is now the highest in 35 months.
Latest Release
45.5
Actual
38
Consensus
38
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±7.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 39.85
Actual: 45.5
Error: -5.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 54.5% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 45.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 29.92%, ranging from 7% to 54.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 46%, up from the prior three at 42.53%. Volatility over the past year (σ 16.56%) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.32%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 22.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 7.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 20, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Exports YoY - MY
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About Exports YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 54.5 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 45.5 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 38 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MY Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | MY | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.9 | 50.2 | 49.95 | Low | |