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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Exports YoY climbed to 45.3% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Malaysia Exports YoY climbed to 45.3% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 8.0% from April's 37.3% reading. The print exceeded the 32.4% consensus by 12.9%. Exports YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Exports YoY averaged 22.6%, vs 13.6% in the prior 3-month window. Exports YoY is now the highest in 32 months.
Latest Release
45.3
Actual
32.4
Consensus
37.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±8.65 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 46.35
Actual: 45.3
Error: +1.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MYR | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 45.4% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 44.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 19.27%, ranging from 1.9% to 45.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 42.53%, up from the prior three at 13.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 15.05%) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.71%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Exports YoY has averaged 14.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MYR (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 8.65%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 20, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product YoY (Aug 14).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Exports YoY - MY
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About Exports YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
Exports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in a country's exports. It provides valuable insights into the performance of a country's international trade and can be used to assess the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports YoY indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and improved trade balance, while a negative change may suggest a decline in exports and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 45.4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 45.3 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 36.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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