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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 5.3% in July 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased November 2026
Malaysia GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 5.3% in July 2026, released November 2026, down 0.7% from June's 6.0% reading. The print exceeded the 4.9% consensus by 0.4%. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.1%. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the lowest in 10 months.
Latest Release
5.3
Actual
4.9
Consensus
6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.27 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Nov 2026
Predicted: 5.1
Actual: 5.3
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 5.3% in November 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4.9% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through November 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.63%, ranging from 5.2% to 6.3% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.53%, down from the prior three at 5.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.37%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.35%). In November readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 4.78%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.28%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - MY
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 5.3 %, consensus 4.9 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 5.3 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.41) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - MY Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | MY | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.9 | 50.2 | 49.95 | Low | |