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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 6.0% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased August 2026
Malaysia GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 6.0% in April 2026, released August 2026, up 0.6% from March's 5.4% reading. The reading matched the 5.8% consensus. GDP Growth Rate YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. The reading is in the 91st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6
Actual
5.8
Consensus
5.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.35 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 6.05
Actual: 6
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MYR | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 6% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 5.8% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 5.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.66%, ranging from 5.2% to 6.3% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 5.73%, up from the prior three at 5.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.38%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.37%). In August readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 5.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MYR (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.35%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 18) and Inflation Rate MoM (Sep 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - MY
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 6 %, consensus 5.8 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 5.8 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 5.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/MYR (Bearish USD, r=-0.72) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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