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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 5.8% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased July 2026
Malaysia GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 5.8% in April 2026, released July 2026, up 0.4% from March's 5.4% reading. The print exceeded the 5.3% consensus by 0.5%. GDP Growth Rate YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. The reading is in the 84th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
5.8
Actual
5.3
Consensus
5.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.4 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 5.35
Actual: 5.8
Error: -0.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MYR | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 5.8% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 5.3% by 0.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 5.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.43%, ranging from 4.4% to 6.3% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.83%, up from the prior three at 5.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.55%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.5%). In July readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 5.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MYR (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.4%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product YoY (Aug 14).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - MY
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 5.8 %, consensus 5.3 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 5.4 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 5.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/MYR (Bearish USD, r=-0.56) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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