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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 5.4% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Malaysia Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 5.4% in January 2026, released May 2026, down 0.8% from December's 6.2% reading. The reading matched the 5.3% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 5.04%.
Latest Release
5.4
Actual
5.3
Consensus
6.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 5.3
Actual: 5.4
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/MYR | ▼ Inverse | −0.75 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 5.4% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 5.3% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 6.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.24%, ranging from 4.4% to 6.3% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.8%, up from the prior three at 4.93%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/MYR (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 19) and Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - MY
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
Malaysia's Gross Domestic Product YoY for April came in at 5.400000%, beating the 5.300000% estimate but down from March's 6.200000%. The economy showed a deceleration in growth compared to the previous month, indicating a moderation after a strong start to 2026. Market focus remains on upcoming data releases and central bank policy adjustments amid this cooling trend. Updated 5/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 5.4 %, consensus 5.3 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 5.3 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 6.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/MYR (Bearish USD, r=-0.75) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.