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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Imports YoY fell to 36.4% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Malaysia Imports YoY fell to 36.4% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 6.7% from June's 43.1% reading. The print exceeded the 32.4% consensus by 4.0%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 11.91%. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 29.0%, vs 12.87% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 94th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
36.4
Actual
32.4
Consensus
43.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.64 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 31.7
Actual: 36.4
Error: -4.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 36.4% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 32.4% by 4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 43.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 15.3%, ranging from -5.9% to 43.9% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 31.47%, up from the prior three at 11.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 13.41%) is higher than the prior year (σ 8.14%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 20.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.64%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 18) and Inflation Rate MoM (Sep 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Imports YoY - MY
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About Imports YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 36.4 %, consensus 32.4 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 43.9 %. Before that (May 2026): 14.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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