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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Imports YoY climbed to 20.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Malaysia Imports YoY climbed to 20.0% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 9.6% from March's 10.4% reading. The print exceeded the 2.5% consensus by 17.5%. Imports YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 7.97%, vs 13.9% in the prior 3-month window. Imports YoY is now the highest in 19 months.
Latest Release
20
Actual
2.5
Consensus
10.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.62 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 2.05
Actual: 20
Error: -17.95
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | INDEX | Bullish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 20% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.5% by 17.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 10.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 7.48%, ranging from -5.9% to 20% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 11.17%, down from the prior three at 13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.96%) is lower than the prior year (σ 9%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 18.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, positively correlated (Bullish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.62%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 19) and Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Imports YoY - MY
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About Imports YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 20 %, consensus 2.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 10.4 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 8.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.52) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.