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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MalaysiaMalaysia Imports YoY climbed to 41.1% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Malaysia Imports YoY climbed to 41.1% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 4.8% from July's 36.3% reading. The print exceeded the 33.3% consensus by 7.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 14.89%. Over the past 3 months, Imports YoY averaged 40.15%, vs 14.83% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 94th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
41.1
Actual
33.3
Consensus
36.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 35.3
Actual: 41.1
Error: -5.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Imports YoY (Malaysia) was reported at 52.7% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 41.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 23.7%, ranging from 5.3% to 52.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 43.4%, up from the prior three at 26%. Volatility over the past year (σ 15.82%) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.52%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Imports YoY has averaged 23.63%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Hang Seng (Bullish Hang Seng). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 20, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Imports YoY - MY
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About Imports YoY — Malaysia
DEFINITION
Imports YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the total value of goods and services imported into a country. It provides valuable insights into a country's economic health and its trade relationships with other nations. A positive Imports YoY indicates an increase in imports, which can stimulate economic growth and consumer demand. On the other hand, a negative Imports YoY may suggest a decline in economic activity and potential trade imbalances. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall health of a country's economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 52.7 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 41.1 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 36.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MY Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | MY | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.9 | 50.2 | 49.95 | Low | |