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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NetherlandsNetherlands GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 2.1% in July 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased October 2026
Netherlands GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 2.1% in July 2026, released October 2026, up 0.5% from June's 1.6% reading. The print exceeded the 1.4% consensus by 0.7%. GDP Growth Rate YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. GDP Growth Rate YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
2.1
Actual
1.4
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.21 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 1.55
Actual: 2.1
Error: -0.55
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Netherlands) was reported at 2.1% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.4% by 0.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.69%, ranging from 1.3% to 2.1% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.67%, unchanged from the prior three. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.25%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.2%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.21%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - NL
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Netherlands
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 2.1 %, consensus 1.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.3 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.51) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - NL Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 | NL | Business Confidence | 2.3 | 4.2 | 3 | 2.65 | Low |
| 05:30 | NL | Retail Sales YoY | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | NL | NEVI Manufacturing PMI | 55.6 | 54.9 | 54.60 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:30 | NL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Medium | |