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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NetherlandsNetherlands GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 1.3% in April 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased July 2026
Netherlands GDP Growth Rate YoY fell to 1.3% in April 2026, released July 2026, down 0.1% from March's 1.4% reading. The print exceeded the 1.2% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.72%. The reading is in the 21st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.3
Actual
1.2
Consensus
1.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 1.3
Actual: 1.3
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Netherlands) was reported at 1.3% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.2% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.63%, ranging from 1.3% to 1.8% across 7 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.5%, down from the prior three at 1.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.19%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.47%). In July readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 1.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.25%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate YoY - NL
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About GDP Growth Rate YoY — Netherlands
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.3 %, consensus 1.2 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.4 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - NL Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:20 | NL | Business Confidence | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.70 | Low |
| 04:30 | NL | Business Confidence | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.70 | Low |
| 04:30 | NL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.00 | Medium |
| 04:30 | NL | CPI YoY | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 3.00 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:30 | NL | Retail Sales YoY | 2.9 | 3 | 3.00 | Low | |
| 05:00 | NL | NEVI Manufacturing PMI | 55.5 | 55 | 55.95 | Low | |