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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NetherlandsNetherlands Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 1.8% in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Netherlands Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 1.8% in October 2025, released March 2026, up 0.1% from September's 1.7% reading. The reading matched the 1.8% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 0.1%. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 7 months.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
1.8
Consensus
1.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.15 percentage points
across last 5 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 1.8
Actual: 1.8
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Netherlands) was reported at 1.2% in April 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.77%, ranging from 1.5% to 2.2% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.8%, up from the prior three at 1.6%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 24, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jun 18) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - NL
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Netherlands
DEFINITION
The Netherlands' Gross Domestic Product YoY came in at 1.200000% for April, down from March's 1.800000%, marking a clear slowdown in annual growth. This decline from 1.8% to 1.2% signals a deceleration in economic expansion compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming data closely as the central bank maintains its current stance amid this cooling trend. Updated 4/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 1.2 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 1.8 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 1.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.40) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.