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Norway GDP Growth Rate YoY climbed to 2.0% in April 2026, released August 2026, up 0.4% from March's 1.6% reading. The print exceeded the 1.1% consensus by 0.9%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.78%.
across last 12 releases
Aug 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/NOK | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/NOK | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP Growth Rate YoY (Norway) was reported at 2% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.1% by 0.9%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
The trailing three releases averaged 1.97%, up from the prior three at -0.13%. In August readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate YoY has averaged 1.37%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/NOK (Bullish NOK). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/NOK, negatively correlated (Bullish NOK). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2%.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
The GDP Growth Rate YoY (Year-over-Year) is a key economic indicator that measures the annual change in a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current and future economic outlook. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY is generally seen as a positive sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may indicate a slowdown or recession.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2 %, consensus 1.1 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.7 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 2.2 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/NOK (Bullish NOK, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Balance of Trade | 100.4 | 88.8 | 95.1 | 97.75 | Low | |