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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NorwayNorway Interest Rate Decision held to 4.25% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Norway Interest Rate Decision held to 4.25% in June 2026. The reading matched the 4.25% consensus. Interest Rate Decision is now the highest in 12 months.
Latest Release
4.25
Actual
4.25
Consensus
4.25
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 4.25
Actual: 4.25
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Norway) was reported at 4.25% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 4.25% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.08%, ranging from 4% to 4.25% across 6 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.08%, unchanged from the prior three.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 13, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - NO
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About Interest Rate Decision — Norway
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 4.25 %, consensus 4.25 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 4.25 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - NO Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | NO | Unemployed Persons | 62.1 | 61.7 | 61.6 | 61.85 | Low |
| 06:00 | NO | Loan Growth YoY | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.45 | Low |
| 06:00 | NO | Registered Jobless Rate | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Low |
| 06:00 | NO | Unemployment Rate n.s.a | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Low |