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New Zealand Export Prices QoQ climbed to 5.3 in October 2025, released March 2026, up 6.9 from September's -1.6 reading. The print exceeded the 0.5 consensus by 4.8. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.07. Export Prices QoQ is now the highest in 6 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| NZD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| EUR/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -1.6. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±2.4. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with NZD/USD (Bullish NZD) and positively correlated with NZD/JPY (Bullish NZD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | Business NZ PMI | 50.5 | 52.8 | 50.5 | 50.55 | Medium | |
| 22:45 | Food Inflation YoY | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 3.67 | Low | |
| Sunday, May 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 22:30 | Composite NZ PCI | 48.8 | 46.8 | 46.80 | Low | ||
| 22:30 | Services NZ PSI | 46 | 45 | 45.00 | Low | ||