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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PakistanPakistan Wholesale Prices YoY climbed to 13.33% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Pakistan Wholesale Prices YoY climbed to 13.33% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.53% from August's 11.8% reading. The print exceeded the 9.1% consensus by 4.23%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 7.64%. Over the past 3 months, Wholesale Prices YoY averaged 11.15%, vs 13.15% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
13.33
Actual
9.1
Consensus
11.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.99 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 9.4
Actual: 13.33
Error: -3.93
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Wholesale Prices YoY (Pakistan) was reported at 13.33% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 9.1% by 4.23%. The reading rose from the previous value of 11.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.8%, ranging from 0.2% to 13.33% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 11.51%, up from the prior three at 6.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.28%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.62%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Wholesale Prices YoY has averaged 5.29%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.99%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Wholesale Prices YoY - PK
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About Wholesale Prices YoY — Pakistan
DEFINITION
Wholesale Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the prices of goods sold in bulk by manufacturers and wholesalers. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflationary pressures in the economy and is closely monitored by businesses, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in wholesale prices, while a negative change suggests a decrease. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the health of the economy and predicting future trends in consumer prices.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 13.33 %, consensus 9.1 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 11.8 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 9.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.66) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PK Events
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | PK | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.88 | 0.5 | 0.00 | Low | |
| 10:00 | PK | Wholesale Prices YoY | 13.33 | 14 | 13.45 | Low | |
| 10:00 | PK | Inflation Rate YoY | 10.3 | 9 | 8.50 | Low | |