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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PakistanPakistan Wholesale Prices YoY fell to 12.7% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Pakistan Wholesale Prices YoY fell to 12.7% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.9% from April's 13.6% reading. The reading missed the 14.5% consensus by 1.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.83%. Over the past 3 months, Wholesale Prices YoY averaged 10.15%, vs 0.63% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 94th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
12.7
Actual
14.5
Consensus
13.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.32 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 16.85
Actual: 12.7
Error: +4.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Wholesale Prices YoY (Pakistan) was reported at 12.7% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 14.5% by 1.8%. The reading fell from the previous value of 13.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.96%, ranging from -1% to 12.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 6.83%, up from the prior three at 0.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.94%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3.99%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Wholesale Prices YoY has averaged 5.84%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.32%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Wholesale Prices YoY - PK
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About Wholesale Prices YoY — Pakistan
DEFINITION
Wholesale Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the prices of goods sold in bulk by manufacturers and wholesalers. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflationary pressures in the economy and is closely monitored by businesses, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in wholesale prices, while a negative change suggests a decrease. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the health of the economy and predicting future trends in consumer prices.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 12.7 %, consensus 14.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 13.6 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 6.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.62) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.