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Economic Activity YoY fell to 2.1 in February 2026, down 0.1 from January's 2.2 reading. The reading matched the 2.1 consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.93. Over the past 3 months, Economic Activity YoY averaged 2.17, vs 2.15 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 2.2. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU) and positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
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| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | CPI MoM | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Low | ||
| 10:00 | CPI YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | ||