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Portugal's Economic Activity YoY for December 2025 matched expectations at 2.20%, down from 2.30% in November, indicating a slight deceleration but continued expansion. The 0.10 percentage point decrease suggests a modest cooling in growth momentum compared to the previous month. Market participants will likely watch for policy adjustments as the economy maintains steady but slower growth. Updated 1/19/26
| Wednesday, March 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.13 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | -0.7 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | CPI | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Low |
| 10:00 | PT | CPI | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low |
| 05:00 | PT | CPI | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Low |
| Tuesday, March 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -0.6 | -7.5 | -0.5 | -0.82 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | - | -1.9 | 1.1 | -0.65 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.55 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | - | 3.1 | 3.2 | 4.40 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | - | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.23 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | - | -3.2 | 2.5 | 3.40 | Low |
| Friday, February 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.93 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.07 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.90 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low |
| 04:00 | PT | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | - | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.90 | Low |
| 04:00 | PT | Gross Domestic Product YoY | - | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low |
| Thursday, February 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 2.9 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.93 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -15.3 | -14.7 | -14 | -14.18 | Low |
| Friday, February 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.13 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.17 | Low |
| Thursday, February 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | - | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.17 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | - | 3.2 | 3 | 3.13 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Current Account | 3.8 | -68.8 | -920 | -905.73 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Current Account | -739.4 | 4.539 | -920 | -905.73 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.93 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.7 | 0.1 | -0.7 | -0.67 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | CPI | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low |
| Monday, February 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Balance of Trade | -2871 | -1991 | -2850 | -2625.50 | Low |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Budget Balance | - | -6.6 | -6.9 | -7.22 | Low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -7.5 | -6.6 | -6.9 | -7.22 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.32 | Low |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.23 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.7 | 0.1 | -0.5 | -0.47 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.60 | Low |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 5.6 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.65 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Business Confidence | 3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.93 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -14.7 | -14.5 | -14 | -14.18 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.17 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Producer Price Index YoY | -3.2 | -3.3 | -3.2 | -3.35 | Low |
| Monday, January 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 2.8 | 2.93 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.27 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Current Account | -68.8 | 1139 | 950 | 964.27 | Low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | - | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.27 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | - | 3 | 2.8 | 2.93 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Current Account | - | 1139 | 950 | 964.27 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.23 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | CPI | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Low |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Balance of Trade | -1991 | -2859 | -2910 | -2685.50 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Unemployment Rate | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.85 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production MoM | -3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -1.25 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Industrial Production YoY | 0.3 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 0.22 | Low |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -6.6 | -4.3 | -5.4 | -5.72 | Low |
| 13:00 | PT | Budget Balance | -6.6 | -4.3 | -5.4 | -5.72 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Budget Balance | -6.6 | -4.3 | -5.4 | -5.72 | Low |
| Friday, January 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Business Confidence | 3.1 | 3 | 3 | 3.03 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Consumer Confidence | -14.5 | -15.2 | -15.4 | -15.58 | Low |
| Wednesday, December 31, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.23 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Inflation Rate MoM | - | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 09:30 | PT | Inflation Rate YoY | - | 2.2 | 2 | 2.03 | Low |
| Tuesday, December 30, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales YoY | 6.4 | 4.3 | 4 | 5.20 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Retail Sales MoM | 2.3 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 1.40 | Low |
| Friday, December 19, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Current Account | 1139 | 566 | 190 | 204.27 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 2.07 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.03 | Low |
| 07:35 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.03 | Low |
| 07:35 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 2.07 | Low |
| Thursday, December 18, 2025 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | PT | Economic Activity YoY | - | 2.2 | 2 | 2.07 | Low |
| 11:30 | PT | Private Consumption YoY | - | 3 | 2.9 | 3.03 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.38 | Low |
| 11:00 | PT | Producer Price Index YoY | -3.3 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -2.85 | Low |