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Retail Sales YoY climbed to 5.5 in March 2026, up 2.7 from February's 2.8 reading. The print exceeded the 3.6 consensus by 1.9. Retail Sales YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales YoY averaged 4.75, vs 4.67 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 72nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 2.8. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | CPI MoM | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Low | ||
| 10:00 | CPI YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | ||