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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ParaguayParaguay Current Account fell to -663.9M in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Paraguay Current Account fell to -663.9M in October 2025, released March 2026, down 515.1M from September's -148.8M reading. The reading missed the -350M consensus by 313.9M. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -446.92M.
Latest Release
-663.9
Actual
-350
Consensus
-148.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±460.35 million
across last 8 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: -350
Actual: -663.9
Error: +313.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Paraguay) was reported at -663.90 million in March 2026. This missed the market consensus of -350.00 million by 313.90 million. The reading fell from the previous value of -148.80 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -495.67 million, down from the prior three at -459.07 million. In March readings over the past 3 years, Current Account has averaged -609.77 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 8 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 460.35 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Current Account - PY
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About Current Account — Paraguay
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual -663.9 M, consensus -350 M. Prior reading (Jul 2025): -147.8 M. Before that (Apr 2025): -675.3 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.