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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RomaniaRomania Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 12.05% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Romania Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 12.05% in May 2026, released July 2026, up 1.71% from April's 10.34% reading. The print exceeded the 11.0% consensus by 1.05%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 8.64%, vs 4.5% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 17 months.
Latest Release
12.05
Actual
11
Consensus
10.34
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.52 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 11.71
Actual: 12.05
Error: -0.34
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Romania) was reported at 12.05% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 11% by 1.05%. The reading rose from the previous value of 10.34%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.02%, ranging from -0.28% to 12.05% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 9.46%, up from the prior three at 5.78%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.52%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - RO
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Romania
DEFINITION
Romania's Producer Price Index YoY for June rose to 12.05%, beating the 11.00% estimate and up from May's 10.32%. This marks a continued acceleration in producer price inflation, reflecting stronger cost pressures in the economy. Market focus will remain on inflation trends ahead of upcoming central bank policy decisions. Updated 7/4/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 12.05 %, consensus 11 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 10.32 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 6.96 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.40) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - RO Events
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | RO | Producer Price Index YoY | 12.05 | 11.4 | 12.53 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | RO | Retail Sales MoM | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | RO | Retail Sales YoY | -4.7 | -1.2 | -1.20 | Low | |