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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RomaniaRomania Producer Price Index YoY fell to 8.75% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Romania Producer Price Index YoY fell to 8.75% in July 2026, released September 2026, down 4.38% from June's 13.13% reading. The reading missed the 12.9% consensus by 4.15%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 6.05%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 12.37%, vs 6.76% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 79th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
8.75
Actual
12.9
Consensus
13.13
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.47 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 13.49
Actual: 8.75
Error: +4.73
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Romania) was reported at 8.75% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 12.9% by 4.15%. The reading fell from the previous value of 13.13%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 8.39%, ranging from 3.21% to 12.69% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.16%, up from the prior three at 8.11%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.03%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.76%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.47%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 2, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - RO
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Romania
DEFINITION
Romania's Producer Price Index YoY for August came in at 8.75%, missing the 12.90% estimate and down from July's 12.69%. This marks a notable deceleration in producer price inflation, signaling easing cost pressures in the industrial sector. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely as the central bank maintains a cautious stance. Updated 9/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 8.75 %, consensus 12.9 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 12.69 %. Before that (May 2026): 12.05 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.51) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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