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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RomaniaRomania Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 11.82% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Romania Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 11.82% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 2.98% from July's 8.84% reading. The print exceeded the 8.0% consensus by 3.82%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 6.63%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 10.72%, vs 9.78% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 86th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
11.82
Actual
8
Consensus
8.84
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.47 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 7.29
Actual: 11.82
Error: -4.54
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Romania) was reported at 11.82% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 8% by 3.82%. The reading rose from the previous value of 8.84%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.47%, ranging from 6% to 12.69% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.09%, up from the prior three at 9.46%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.48%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.74%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.47%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - RO
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Romania
DEFINITION
Romania's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 11.82% in September, beating the 8.00% estimate and rising from August's 8.75%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer inflation, reversing the prior month's slowdown. Market focus will remain on central bank responses amid persistent price pressures. Updated 10/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 11.82 %, consensus 8 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 8.75 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 12.69 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - RO Events
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | RO | Producer Price Index YoY | 11.82 | 12.5 | 13.14 | Low | |