Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Current Account climbed to 12.2B in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Russia Current Account climbed to 12.2B in January 2026, released May 2026, up 2.8B from December's 9.4B reading. The reading missed the 16B consensus by 3.8B. Current Account has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Current Account is now the highest in 9 months.
Latest Release
12.2
Actual
16
Consensus
9.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±7.7 billion
across last 11 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 16
Actual: 12.2
Error: +3.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Russia) was reported at 12.20 billion in May 2026. This missed the market consensus of 16.00 billion by 3.80 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 9.40 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 8.47 billion, down from the prior three at 10.63 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 11 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 7.70 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product YoY (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Current Account - RU
Loading chart data...
About Current Account — Russia
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 12.2 M, consensus 16 M. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 9.2 M. Before that (Jul 2025): 4 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.